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Rasmussen shows trend toward Republicans

Liberal Democrats and their communications staff in the national media have been telling us since November that conservatism has failed, the Republican Party has fallen, that the best thing we can do is move leftward and gracefully accept life as a permanent minority.
The Rasmussen polling service finds today, however, that a generic Republican congressional candidate would beat a generic Democratic candidate for the first time in the nearly two years that Rasmussen has been tracking this trend.
Today 40% of voters say they will vote for their Republican candidate in the next congressional election versus 39% who will vote for their Democratic candidate.
Only a week ago, 42% said they would support the Democratic candidate, while 28% said they would support the Republican. The last poll taken before November’s disastrous election showed the generic Democrat with a 3-point lead, 43% to 40%.
The generic Republican candidate leads most strongly among independent voters (34-28%), investors (44-35%) entrepreneurs (44-40%).  Meanwhile, fully 12% of Democrats and only 8% of Republican say they would consider voting for the other party’s candidate.
You can see the full results here.

About Megan Ritter

Megan Ritter recently graduated from Seton Hill University in Greensburg, PA, with a degree in history and political science and a concentration in Holocaust and genocide studies. She served as the chair of the SHU College Republicans, as the campus chair of Students for Santorum, and as the political columnist for the university newspaper. She interned for the non-profit public interest group Students for Saving Social Security where, most notably, she staked out a Hillary Clinton appearance dressed in an ostrich suit and carrying a sign asking Clinton to “get her head out of the sand and fix Social Security.”

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This entry was posted on Wednesday, February 11th, 2009 at 7:26 pm by Megan Ritter and is filed under News, Viewpoint. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

2 Responses to “Rasmussen shows trend toward Republicans”

  1. upyernoz Says:
    February 15th, 2009 at 10:24 am

    huh? i think you read the link backwards.

    megan from this post: Today 40% of voters say they will vote for their Republican candidate in the next congressional election versus 39% who will vote for their Democratic candidate.

    from the rasmussen link: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone surveys found that the Democrats’ lead is down to just one percentage point. Forty percent (40%) of voters said they would vote for their district’s Democratic candidate while 39% said they would choose the Republican

    see the difference? it’s 40% for dems, 39% for repubs, not the other way around.

    that being said, it is really close, within the +/-1% margin of error. so technically speaking, it’s a statistical tie.

    on the other hand, “generic ballot” questions are often not very predictive of performance on election day. generic candidates don’t run for office, actual individuals do. and while, for example, a lot of pennsylvanians might say they prefer a “generic democrat” for senate, arlen specter always picks up quite a few votes from dems in this state. a lot of folks who might prefer a “generic dem” for senate, will vote for the actual republican specter when they get the chance.

  2. upyernoz Says:
    July 16th, 2009 at 11:19 am

    a month waiting moderation? seriously, i’m getting worried about you guys. are you all still alive?

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